Predictor Housing affordability

To meet housing costs, people may sacrifice access to reliable transportation, educational attainment, and residence in high-opportunity areas. Affordable housing lifts some of this burden by keeping families in good physical, mental, and financial health, which can improve their economic outcomes and feelings of belonging.

Evidence on the Relationship between Housing Affordability and Upward Mobility Outcomes

As of December 2021, researchers have documented the following connections between this predictor and upward mobility. Asterisk (*) indicates primary reference.

  • Desmond and Gershenson (2016) find that residential stability is the basis for psychological stability, which allows people to invest in their social relationships, communities, health, and education.
  • Research shows that compared with other renters and homeowners, rent-burdened households have higher eviction rates, increased financial fragility, and wider use of social safety-net programs (Pew Charitable Trusts 2018). Homeownership and residential stability are associated with increased educational achievement, and educational outcomes are better for children living in higher-quality neighborhoods (Vandivere et al. 2006*).
  • Higher rent burdens are associated with worse self-reported health conditions and an increased likelihood of postponing medical services for financial reasons (Meltzer and Schwartz 2015).
  • Nobari and colleagues (2019) find that severe housing-cost burden is associated with a higher chance of childhood obesity.
  • Households that are behind on rent have a greater likelihood of poor caregiver health, maternal depressive symptoms, child lifetime hospitalizations, child health issues, and household material hardships (Sandel et al. 2018).
  • One study based on the National Survey of America’s Families found that when compared with children in more stable housing, children in rent-burdened households have lower health ratings, are held back in school more often, and show additional behavioral problems (Aratani et al. 2011).

Promising Local Policy Interventions 

Research from both Urban and others in the field suggests the following policies could help communities improve this predictor. These suggestions are not exhaustive, and communities should work with residents and leaders to identify solutions that are best suited to their local contexts.


Mobility Metric(s) Used to Measure This Predictor

Number of affordable and available housing units per 100 households with low, very low, and extremely low incomes

This metric reflects the extent of housing options for households with low incomes. Housing is considered affordable when monthly costs fall at or below 30 percent of a household’s income.

View the full suite of metrics used to measure all the predictors in the Upward Mobility Framework.

Mobility Dimensions Engaged
Economic success
Power and autonomy
Dignity and belonging