Predictor Opportunities for income

Income is a direct measure of prosperity. Thus, having opportunities to earn higher income improves people’s prospects for economic success. Higher incomes are also associated with higher academic achievement and educational attainment, better physical and mental health, and fewer behavioral problems in children.

Evidence on the Relationship between Opportunities for Income and Upward Mobility Outcomes

As of December 2021, researchers have documented the following connections between this predictor and upward mobility. Asterisk (*) indicates primary reference.

  • Income is a direct measure of mobility as a result of economic success. At particular stages of life, it is also predictive of later-life outcomes across multiple mobility principles (Duncan, Magnuson, and Votruba-Drzal 2017*).
  • Parents’ income affects children’s academic achievement. Income gains have consistently been shown to improve elementary school students’ achievement, but evidence of achievement changes for adolescents is mixed. Family income has been shown to affect high school graduation, completed years of schooling, and educational attainment, but not test scores.
  • Income affects the behavioral and mental health outcomes of children and young people. Compared with children from higher-income families, children from low-income families are generally rated as having more behavioral problems, and adolescents from low-income families have higher rates of nonmarital fertility and criminal activity. Studies have demonstrated that low income is associated with detrimental psychological functioning, such as antisocial behavior, inadequate self-regulation, and poor mental health.
  • Duncan, Magnuson, and Votruba-Drzal (2017)* review the evidence on the effect of parents’ income status on later-life outcomes for children and adolescents and suggest a strong relationship between income and future economic success, educational attainment, and health outcomes.

Promising Local Policy Interventions

Research from both Urban and others in the field suggests the following policies could help communities improve this predictor. These suggestions are not exhaustive, and communities should work with residents and leaders to identify solutions that are best suited to their local contexts.


Mobility Metric(s) Used to Measure This Predictor

Household income at 20th, 50th, and 80th percentiles

This metric captures the financial resources available to low-, middle-, and high-income households and the extent of income inequality in a community. Larger gaps between values for the three income groups indicate greater inequities.

View the full suite of metrics used to measure all the predictors in the Upward Mobility Framework.

Mobility Dimensions Engaged

  • Economic success